Thank you for your important question! Capsular contracture refers to tightening of the scar tissue that normally forms around the implants resulting in hardened, painful, and abnormal looking breasts with varying degrees of severity. The capsule is fibrous tissue that NATURALLY forms when anything foreign is placed in our body – this happens with heart devices as well. However, when there is too much inflammation, fluid collection, or bacterial contamination, the fibrous capsule can start to scar down further and contract. In general, capsular contracture (CC) can occur at any time, but most cases are documented in under 12 months (i.e., anywhere from 3 months to 12 months post operation). This is because it takes time for the fibrous tissue capsule to form around the implant, and then it will have to scar down (contract). Nevertheless, CC can start early when there is significant bleeding or infection or another co-existing problem. There are 4 grades/levels of capsular contracture: Grade I — the breast is normally soft and appears natural in size and shape Grade II — the breast is a little firm, but appears normal. Grade III — the breast is firm and appears abnormal. Grade IV — the breast is hard, painful to the touch, and appears abnormal. Often studies will only consider Grade 3-4 as capsular contracture as they actually require surgery (i.e., tearing of the capsule, or complete removal of the capsule and the implant). However, some will include 2 as well causing the rate of capsular contracture to be higher. So let’s first understand that this is one reason for the variability in the rates. The risk of capsular contracture can depend on many things like incision site, pocket location, implant and surgical skills. From anecdotal evidence of many surgeons, the rate of occurrence can range from 1-2%. Older studies (i.e., before year 2000) report capsular contracture to occur in up to 59% of patients, and its recurrence after correction surgery can be from 18.1-39.7%. More recent studies hint that capsular contracture rates range from 1-2% for breast augmentations through the inframammary incision and the transaxillary incision, although it could be higher (up to 9%) for surgeries through the periareolar incision. Nevertheless, I don’t think you should be concerned over the rates of capsular contracture from studies, because it clearly varies depending on the surgeon performing the procedure as you noted. So it would be better to ask your surgeon about the incidence of capsular contracture when they perform breast augmentations. That being said, a literature review by Dr. Chong & Dr. Deva titled Understanding the Etiology and Prevention of Capsular Contracture (CC), clearly outlines what can increase and decrease the chances of capsular contracture and all things are ultimately related to implant contamination. Initiators: Bacterial InfectionPeriareolar incision (natural bacteria of the breast can contaminate the implant during insertion)Subglandular pocket (same reason as above)Prolonged exposure of the implant to the surrounding surgical environment (lack of sterility in the surgical environment can cause contamination of the implant)Hematoma (blood can increase inflammation and speed up fibrous capsule formation)Use of drains (increase risk of infections by 5 folds, and thereby increase risk of CC) Suppressors:Avoiding large implants (large implants can easily be contaminated)Avoiding use of drainsAvoiding manipulation of the implant and excessive exposure to open airTextured implants with subglandular pocket (Textured implants may not help in the submuscular pocket)Submuscular pocket (the implant is not exposed to breast’s natural bacterial flora)IV and oral antibiotic prophylaxis during and after surgeryWashing the implant pocket and the implant with antibacterial solutionUsing insertion sleeves (i.e., Keller Funnel) for the implants (reduces contact with bacteria)Using nipple shields to prevent implant contamination from nipple dischargeAchieving blood-less dissection using electrocautery If these risk factors are considered and incorporated into the surgical planning by your surgeon, the risk of capsular contracture dramatically drops. I hope this helps.