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There are no studies regarding smoking cigarettes and hair transplant results. You can infer smoking is bad for you so if are concerned about your investment in hair you can consider limiting your use.
3 months after hair transplant all grafts take or some of them lost anyway and you can start to your normal life and do everything, including every kind of activity, smoking, close contact sports so on.
At 3 months you can do whatever you want, smoke, exercise, climb mountains, massage your scalp. Do you get the idea that you are now normal?
Thanks for the question. Based on your photos, the 2000-3000 grafts might be good option for you, but it would be wrong to say something for sure. You should see a board certified surgeon. You can then plan the process together and discuss the results. I wish you all the best.
It is best to contact your doctor about post operative care and instructions since each doctor has a different regimen. Many doctors say that the grafts are considered secure after a few weeks (to be safe).
Tender lumps are not normal. It may be in your interest to contact your doctor for a follow up exam and possibly receive treatment.